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Why NASA Cancelled Gateway and Delayed the Artemis Moon Landing

Katy & TheoEpisode 2 of The Race to Mars7 min

The Race to MarsEpisode 27 min · Katy & Theo
0:00-6:44

In the app you can ask Katy about anything mid-episode, then it picks back up.

Artemis Two flew in April with four people aboard. Then NASA scrapped the lunar station and pushed the landing to 2028. The reason is a tes…

Transcript

Katy

April first, twenty twenty-six. Six thirty-five in the evening, Florida time. Launch Complex thirty-nine B... the same pad Apollo used. Four people strapped into a capsule called Integrity. And for the first time in more than fifty years, humans leave Earth orbit.

Theo

Wait. That actually happened? Six months ago?

Katy

It happened. Reid Wiseman, Victor Glover, Christina Koch, and Jeremy Hansen of the Canadian Space Agency. Nine days, one hour, thirty-two minutes. Seven hundred thousand, two hundred and thirty-seven miles. Splashdown in the Pacific southwest of San Diego on April tenth, picked up by a Navy ship, the USS John P. Murtha.

Theo

So Artemis works. Which makes it weird that everyone I talk to about it sounds like they're at a funeral.

Katy

Because of what NASA did either side of that flight. In late February, before Artemis Two even launched, the agency restructured the whole programme. Artemis Three was supposed to be the landing. The boots. Instead it became a demonstration.

Theo

A demonstration of what?

Katy

Docking. Orion flies out to the Moon and practises linking up with the landers. The actual touchdown moved to Artemis Four, early twenty twenty-eight. And in March, NASA cancelled the Lunar Gateway outright. The station they'd spent years designing to orbit the Moon.

Theo

Cancelled it? After all that?

Katy

Gone. And here's the detail I keep turning over. On June ninth, NASA's administrator, Jared Isaacman, named the Artemis Three crew and said Orion will rendezvous and dock with the Blue Origin lander... and then again with the SpaceX lander.

Theo

Both? On one mission?

Katy

That's what he suggested. CNN reported it that day. The stated goal, in NASA's words, is to reduce risk ahead of a real landing.

Theo

Nothing says confidence like booking two taxis.

Katy

Not a bad way to put it. Starship is contracted for Artemis Three and Four. Blue Moon for Artemis Five. And back in September of twenty twenty-five, NASA's own safety advisers went public.

Theo

Saying what?

Katy

The Aerospace Safety Advisory Panel. A member named Paul Hill had just visited Starbase. He said the lander schedule was, quote, significantly challenged, and could be years late. And he pointed at one specific problem.

Theo

One problem? Out of a whole rocket?

Katy

One. Cryogenic propellant transfer. Moving super-cold fuel from one spacecraft to another, in orbit, with nobody holding the hose. Starship can't reach the Moon on one tank. It has to be refuelled in space. Nobody has ever done that at this scale.

Theo

Hang on, though. Is that genuinely unproven, or is it just hard engineering someone will solve by Tuesday?

Katy

Honest answer... both. It isn't physics-impossible. It's a plumbing problem in zero gravity, and SpaceX has been working it. But as of the panel's assessment, it hadn't been demonstrated. And that one capability is the hinge the entire schedule swings on.

Theo

And I'm guessing it's the same hinge for Mars.

Katy

That's the whole reason we're talking about the Moon in a Mars series. In this architecture the Moon isn't the destination. It's the rehearsal. If you can transfer propellant in orbit, you can refuel a ship bound for Mars. If you can't... Mars stays a drawing.

Theo

So Artemis is a Mars programme wearing a Moon costume.

Katy

Partly. Look at what a landing teaches you. Putting a huge vehicle down on dust nobody has characterised. Keeping humans alive outside a magnetic field. Running hardware through a two-week night. Mars is worse in every one of those, and it's months away instead of three days.

Theo

Three days versus months. That's the bit people forget.

Katy

Artemis Two did seven hundred thousand miles in nine days. A Mars crew is looking at hundreds of days, with no abort. On the Moon, if something breaks, you come home. At Mars, you wait for the planets to line up.

Theo

So killing Gateway. Simplifying, or retreating?

Katy

Depends who you ask, and both sides are arguing it right now. Supporters say it stripped out cost and complexity that never put a boot on the ground. Critics say it threw away the international partnerships and the permanence that made Artemis more than a flags-and-footprints repeat of Apollo.

Theo

What do the auditors think?

Katy

The Inspector General's report on the lander contracts came out March tenth. Not a glowing document. Confusion over who pays for what, a pause in work, and a reconciliation that ended with NASA docking one and a half million dollars from SpaceX's contract.

Theo

One and a half million? On this programme that's couch cushions.

Katy

It is. The money isn't the story. The confusion is. Confusion costs months, and months are the thing Artemis doesn't have... because another country is building its own crewed lunar hardware, on its own timeline.

Theo

Which is next episode, isn't it.

Katy

It is. So, early October twenty twenty-six. Artemis Two: flown, crew home. Artemis Three: a docking demo, no landing. Artemis Four: the landing, early twenty twenty-eight, if the refuelling works. Gateway: gone. After Artemis Five, NASA hopes for roughly one mission a year.

Theo

That is a very different programme from the one they sold us.

Katy

Very. And the thing to watch isn't a launch. It's that test nobody will televise... two vehicles in orbit, moving cold liquid between them. If that works, the Moon becomes a filling station and Mars becomes a schedule. If it doesn't, we've built the most expensive rehearsal in history.

Theo

A filling station. On the Moon.

Katy

Four people went out there this year and came back. So the question was never whether we can go. It's whether we can leave again, once we've arrived.

Sources

Katy and Theo researched this episode from these sources.

  1. Artemis II — Wikipedia
  2. Liftoff! NASA Launches Astronauts on Historic Artemis Moon Mission — NASA
  3. Artemis II Mission Milestones: An Image and Video Recap — NASA
  4. Artemis IV — Wikipedia
  5. NASA reveals Artemis III crew that will take the next big step — CNN
  6. NASA safety panel warns Starship lunar lander could be delayed by years — SpaceNews
  7. NASA's Management of the Human Landing System Contracts — NASA OIG, IG-26-004
  8. Artemis Programme: what you need to know — Royal Museums Greenwich