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Jared Drucker at Guggenheim Partners

Katy & TheoEpisode 29 of Money Mysteries6 min

Money MysteriesEpisode 296 min · Katy & Theo
0:00-6:16

In the app you can ask Katy about anything mid-episode, then it picks back up.

A Santa Monica trading desk, forty-eight billion dollars of structured credit, and one man's fifteen-year climb.

Transcript

Katy

April, twenty twenty-two. A finance podcast. The host asks a trader to explain, out loud, what happens to the bonds built out of your car loan when the market suddenly stops making sense. The episode is literally called "The ABCs of ABS." And the guy answering is Jared Drucker.

Theo

Okay, who is Jared Drucker and why am I supposed to care?

Katy

Because he's one of the people who decides what your debt is worth. Not your bank. Him, and desks like his. And here's the thing I want to get to by the end... he started at that same firm as an analyst, bottom rung, and never left.

Theo

Never left? In finance? That's practically a monastic vow.

Katy

It is. May twenty eleven, Guggenheim Partners, Santa Monica office. Title: Analyst. Before that, Columbia University, bachelor of arts, two thousand four to two thousand eight.

Theo

Oh. So he graduates right into the wreckage.

Katy

Right into it. And then watch the ladder. August twenty thirteen, Associate and trader. March twenty fourteen, Senior Associate. March twenty sixteen, Vice President. January twenty nineteen, Director. January twenty twenty-four, Managing Director.

Theo

That's a rung every two or three years for over a decade. What was he actually trading, though?

Katy

This is the part I find genuinely interesting. For the first stretch — investment grade corporate, hybrid and preferred. Plain-ish company bonds. Then around twenty nineteen he switches lanes entirely. ABS, CLOs, non-agency RMBS, CMBS.

Theo

Translate. Slowly. Pretend I'm holding a coffee.

Katy

Fine. Corporate bonds are a bet on a company. Structured credit is a bet on a pile of contracts. Somebody gathers thousands of car loans, or aircraft leases, or mortgages, pools them, and issues bonds backed by the cash those contracts throw off. Guggenheim's own explainer puts it beautifully — the collateral is the cashflow, and ownership of the asset is only the backup.

Theo

So the company could go under and you'd still get paid, because the car payments keep arriving.

Katy

That's the whole architecture. And the scale is absurd. Guggenheim estimates the asset-backed finance market at roughly twenty-five trillion dollars — with only about three trillion of that in tradeable non-government securities.

Theo

Wait. So twenty-two trillion of it... isn't really traded anywhere?

Katy

It's private, bespoke, non-indexed. Their words: large, non-standardized, non-indexed. Aircraft leases to data centres to royalty agreements.

Theo

Royalty agreements. Someone has securitized a musician's back catalogue and a trader in Santa Monica is pricing it.

Katy

And that's why the job isn't what you picture. There's no screen full of blinking prices. Guggenheim says flatly that the composition of the benchmark is largely irrelevant to the portfolio. They don't track an index.

Theo

Hang on, that sounds like a nice line for a brochure. How would you even know if they're right?

Katy

Fair push. It's their own marketing, I'll grant you. But it's a real claim with a real consequence: if you ignore the index, every single bond has to be justified from scratch. Their process document says the legal documents in each deal contain nuances that require collaboration with dedicated legal professionals. You're reading the indenture. The contract. Line by line.

Theo

So it's less trading and more... forensic accounting with a Bloomberg terminal.

Katy

Honestly, yes. And here's the number that frames Drucker's desk: more than forty-eight billion dollars, as of the end of twenty twenty-five, across ABS, non-agency mortgage-backed and CMBS for Guggenheim's clients.

Theo

Forty-eight billion. And he's on the committee that says yes or no?

Katy

Structured Credit Investment Committee. That's on his record alongside the trading seat. Which brings us back to that twenty twenty-two podcast — he appeared with Karthik Narayanan, head of the structured credit group, described then as a Director and senior member of the team, talking about where they were finding value as conditions changed fast.

Theo

Rates were going vertical that spring.

Katy

Exactly the moment. And two years later he makes Managing Director. So — the loop. Why stay fifteen years in one place?

Theo

Go on.

Katy

Because in this market, the asset is the memory. Guggenheim's president, Dina DiLorenzo, said at Milken last year that the real edge in credit isn't origination scale, it's operational infrastructure — built versus bought. Firms that grew the thing themselves versus firms acquiring their way in.

Theo

And a guy who's traded corporates and then every flavour of structured paper at the same shop for fifteen years IS the built version.

Katy

He's a walking piece of that infrastructure. You can buy a platform. You cannot buy somebody who remembers how a particular issuer's deal documents were worded in twenty sixteen.

Theo

Which is a slightly unnerving thought, given how much of the world runs on these pools now.

Katy

It is. Banks pulled back after the crisis — post-crisis rules made it less profitable — and non-bank lenders stepped into the gap. So your car loan, your mortgage, the lease on the plane you flew last month: somewhere, somebody is pricing it.

Theo

And nobody votes for them.

Katy

No. They just read the fine print on twenty-five trillion dollars, and quietly decide what the rest of us pay.

Sources

Katy and Theo researched this episode from these sources.

  1. Jared Drucker
  2. Structured Credit Fixed Income Strategy | Guggenheim Investments
  3. Guggenheim Macro Markets - Podcast - Apple Services India
  4. Guggenheim's DiLorenzo: Private Credit Needs Operators, Not Acquirers
  5. The ABCs of Asset-Backed Finance